段晚锁
中国科学院大气物理研究所LASG
电话：010-82995302
传真：010-82995172
Email:duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn
中国科学院大气物理研究所LASG
电话：010-82995302
传真：010-82995172
Email:duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn
论文列表
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998
- Study on the “winter persistence barrier” of Indian Ocean dipole events using observation data and CMIP5 model outputs. Feng R., M. Mu, W. S. Duan. Theoretical and Applied Climatology: 2014 ,DOI 10.1007/s00704-013-1083-x[PDF]
- Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics of Pacific Decadal Oscillation–related sea surface temperature anomalies. Duan, W. S., Wu, Y. Climate Dynamics: 2014, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2364-5[PDF]
- A SVD-based ensemble projection algorithm for calculating conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation. Chen, L., Duan, W. S., and Xu, H. SCIENCE CHINA: Earth Sciences: 2014, doi: 10.1007/s11430-014-4991-4[PDF]
- Using CMIP5 model outputs to investigate the initial errors that cause the “spring predictability barrier” for El Niño events. Zhang, J., Duan, W. S., and Zhi, X. F.. SCIENCE CHINA: Earth Sciences: 2014, DOI: 10.1007/s11430-014-4994-1[PDF]
- ENSO预测的目标观测敏感区在热带太平洋海温的多模式集合预报中的应用.智协飞，张璟，段晚锁.大气科学:2014，doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1408.14181[PDF]
- Time-dependent nonlinear forcing singular vector-type tendency error of the Zebiak-Cane model. Zhao, P., and Duan, W. S.. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett.: 2014, 7, 395-399, doi:10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.14.0026[PDF]
- The combined effect of initial error and model error on ENSO prediction uncertainty generated by the Zebiak-Cane model. Zhao, P., and Duan, W. S.. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett.: 2014, 7, 447-452, doi:10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.14.0034[PDF]
- The spatial patterns of initial errors related to the “winter predictability barrier” of the Indian Ocean dipole, Feng, R., and Duan, W. S., Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett.: 2014, 7, doi:10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.14.0018[PDF]
- Revealing the most disturbing tendency error of Zebiak-Cane model associated with El Nino predictions by nonlinear forcing singular vector approach. Duan, W. S., and Zhao, P.. Climate Dynamics: 2014, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2369-0[PDF]
- The “winter predictability barrier” for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: results from a fully coupled GCM. Feng, R., W. S. Duan, and M. Mu. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2014, 119, doi:10.1002/2014JC10473.[PDF]
- Influence of Positive/Negative Indian Ocean Dipole on Pacific ENSO through Indonesian Throughflow: results from Sensitivity Experiments. Zhou, Qian, Wansuo Duan， Mu Mu， Rong Feng. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 2014, doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-4141-0.[PDF]
- Application of Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation to Targeted Observation Studies of the Atmosphere and Ocean, Mu Mu, Wang Qiang, Duan Wansuo, and Jiang Zhina, J. Meteor. Res,. 2014, 28(5), 923-933, doi:10.1007/s13351-014-4057-8.[PDF]