段晚锁个人主页

DUAN Wansuo
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences LASG
TEL：010-82995302
FAX：010-82995172
Email:duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn

Link

* 中国科学院大气物理研究所
 * 大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室

Vitae

Dr. Wansuo Duan is a Professor from Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. He achieved the National top-100 Excellent PhD Dissertation Award and the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars. He has acted as the editor of the SCI journal"SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences", "Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics", "Advance in Atmospheric Sciences" etc. He has also become the member of International Commitees of Dynamical Meteorology (ICDM), World Climate Reserach Programme (WCRP)-Chinese National Commitee (CNC), and International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (IAMAS)-Chinese National Commitee (CNC). His research fields include: Air-sea interaction, Predictability of high-impact weather and climate events, Target observation, Data assimilation, Ensemble forecasting, and so on.

Papers

An approach to refining the ground meteorological observation stations for improving PM2.5 forecasts in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Yang Lichao, Duan Wansuo and Wang Zifa. Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, in reviewing.[PDF]
Advances in predictability study on weather and climate in China. Duan Wansuo, Yang Lichao, Mu Mu, Wang Bin, Shen Xueshun, Meng Zhiyong and Ding Ruiqiang. Advances in Atmospheric Science, 2023,submitted[PDF]
Evaluation of the sensitivity on mesoscale eddy associated with the sea surface height anomaly forecasting in the Kuroshio Extension. Lin Jiang, Wansuo Duan, Hui Wang, Hailong Liu, Lingjiang Tao. Frontiers in Marine Science, 2023, 10:1097209. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1097209 .[PDF]
A multi-model prediction system for ENSO. Ting Liu, Yanqiu Gao,Xunshu Song, Chuan Gao, Linjiang Tao, Youmin Tang, Wansuo Duan, Ronghua Zhang, Dake Chen. Science China Earth Sciences. 2023, accepted.[PDF]
Role of the thermodynamic structure of the inner core in predicting the intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Quanjia Zhong, Xu Lu, Xuguang Wang, Ruiqiang Ding, Wansuo Duan, Zhaolu Hou. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos, 2023, in revision. [PDF]
Impact of the low wavenumber structure in the initial vortex wind analyses on the prediction of the intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Quanjia Zhong, Xuguang Wang, Ruiqiang Ding, Xu Lu, Yongjie Huang, Wansuo Duan. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos, 2022, accepted.[PDF]
Climate Prediction and Outlook in China for the Flood Season 2022 (in Chinese). Peng Jingbei, Zheng Fei, Fan Fangxing, Chen Hong, Lang Xianmei, Zhan Yanling, Lin Zhaohui, Zhang Qingyun, Lin Renping, Li Chaofan, Ma Jiehua, Tian Baoqiang, Bao Qing, Mu Songning, Zong Haifeng, Wang Lei, Duan Wansuo, Zhou Tianjun. Climatic and Environmental Research. 2022, 27(4), 547-558. [PDF]
Effects of the initial uncertainties in the zonal current on the Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific El Niño predictions. Tao L. J., M. Mu, L. Wang, X. H. Fang, W. S. Duan, and R. H. Zhang. Journal of Climate, 2023, submitted.[PDF]
Distinct effects of initial and model parametric uncertainties on El Niño predictions associated with spring predictability barrier. Tao L. J., W. S. Duan, and M. Mu. Climate Dynamics, 2023,submitted.[PDF]
A New Approach to Represent Model Uncertainty in forecasting Tropical Cyclones: The Orthogonal Nonlinear Forcing Singular Vectors. Zhang Yichi, Duan Wansuo, Stéphane Vannitsem and Zhang Han. Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society , 2023, in revision.[PDF]
Using the approach of orthogonal conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations to address the ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone track through the WRF. Zhang Han, Duan Wansuo and Zhang Yichi. Weather and Forecasting, 2023 , in revision.[PDF]
Seasonally Alternate Roles of the North Pacific Oscillation and the South Pacific Oscillation in Tropical Pacific Zonal Wind and ENSO.Zhong W. X., W.J. Cai, A. Sullivan,W.S. Duan, S. Yang. Journal of Climate, 2023, accepted.[PDF]
Evaluation and Projections of Precipitation Extremes using a Spatial Extremes Framework. Yang Lichao, Christian L. E. Franzke, Duan Wansuo, International Journal of Climatology. 2023, accepted.[PDF]
近海台风立体协同观测科学试验进展。赵兵科，汤杰，雷小途，张雪芬，段晚锁，李泓，高志球，钱传海，鲍旭炜，骆婧瑶，张帅，地球科学进展. 2022，37(8)：771-785。[PDF]
Toward targeted observations of the meteorological initial state for improving the PM2.5 forecast of a heavy haze event that occurred in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Yang Lichao, Duan Wansuo, Wang Zifa, and Yang Wenyi, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 2022, 22, 11429–11453, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-11429-2022.[PDF]
Effects of dropsonde data in field campaigns on forecasts of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific in 2020 and role of CNOP sensitivity. Qin Xiaohao, Duan Wansuo, Pak Wai Chan, Chen Boyu, Kang-Ning Huang, Adavances in Atmospheric Sciences. 2022, http: //doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-2136-9. [PDF]
An ensemble forecasting method for dealing with the combined effect of the initial errors and the model errors and a potential deep learning implementation. Duan Wansuo, Ma Junjie, Stephane Vannitsem, Mon. Wea. Rev.. 2022, 150(11), 2959-2976. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0007.1.[PDF]
Review on the research progress of typhoon ensemble forecast. Zhang, J.，Li, H, Duan, W. S. and Zhang, F. Trans. Atmos. Sci. (in Chinese), 2022, 45(5), 713-727.[PDF]
The Deep Learning Galerkin Method for the General Stokes Equations. Li Jian, Jing Yue, Zhang Wen, and Duan Wansuo, Journal of Scientific Computing. 2022, 93, 5, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10915-022-01930-8.[PDF]
Comparisons of Adjoint Sensitivity, Leading Singular Vector, and Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations in the Identification of Sensitive Areas for Tropical-Cyclone-Targeted Observations, ZHOU Feifan, YE Yiwei, DUAN Wansuo, et al. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 2022, 46(X): 1−14. doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2202.22008[PDF]
Complex network analysis of fine particulate matter (PM2.5): transport and clustering, Na Ying, Duan Wansuo, Zhao Zhidan, Fan Jingfang, Earth System Dynamics. 2022. 13, 1029-1039[PDF]
The different relationships between ENSO spring Persistence Barrier and Predictability Barrier. Jin Yishuai, Liu Zhengyu, Duan Wansuo, Journal of Climate, 2022, 35(18), 6207-6218.[PDF]
Toward an optimal observational array for improving two flavors of El Niño predictions in the whole Pacific. Meiyi Hou, Youmin Tang, Wansuo Duan, Zheqi Shen, Climate Dynamics, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06342-w.[PDF]
A novel precursory signal of the Central Pacific El Niño event: Eastern Pacific cooling mode.Tao L.J., and W.S. Duan, Climate Dynamics,2022, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06229-w.[PDF]
The most sensitive initial error of sea surface height anomaly forecasts and its implication for target observations of mesoscale eddies. Jiang L., W. S. Duan, and H.L. Liu, J. Physical Oceanography. 2022. 52, 723-740[PDF]
A new approach to data assimilation for numerical weather forecasting and climate prediction. Duan Wansuo, Feng Rong, Yang Lichao, Jiang Lin, Journal of Applied Analysis and Computation. 2022, 12(3), 1007-1021[PDF]
. Application of nonlinear optimal perturbation methods in the targeting observations and field campaigns of tropical cyclones, Duan Wansuo, Qin Xiaohao, 2022, 37(2), 165-176[PDF]
Model errors of an intermediate model and their effects on realistic predictions of El Niño diversity.Tao L.J., W.S. Duan, L. Jiang, International Journal of Climatology, 2022. doi: 10.1002/joc.7656[PDF]
Using Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation to Generate Initial Perturbations in ENSO Ensemble Forecasts. Zhou Q., L. Chen, and W.S. Duan, etc. Weather and Forecasting.2021, 36, 2101-2111.[PDF]
Target Observation of Sea Surface Temperature for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Simulation， Yao Jiawei, Duan Wansuo, Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2022, 46(1): 83−97. doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2103.20256[PDF]

Questions, comments, suggestions? E-Mail me, please!
duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn