段晚锁个人主页

DUAN Wansuo
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences LASG
TEL：010-82995302
FAX：010-82995172
Email:duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn

Link

* 中国科学院大气物理研究所
 * 大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室

Vitae

Dr. Wansuo Duan is a Professor from Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. He achieved the National top-100 Excellent PhD Dissertation Award and the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars. He has acted as the editor of the SCI journal"SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences", "Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics", "Advance in Atmospheric Sciences" etc. He has (once) become the member of International Commitees of Dynamical Meteorology (ICDM), World Climate Reserach Programme (WCRP)-Chinese National Commitee (CNC). He is the Secretary-General of International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (IAMAS)-Chinese National Commitee (CNC). His research fields include: Air-sea interaction, Predictability of high-impact weather and climate events, Target observation, Data assimilation, Ensemble forecasting, and so on.

Papers

Consistent Initial Error Modes causing the Largest Prediction Errors and the Strongest Predictability Barrier for Two Types of El Niño Events in CMIP6. Jingjing Zhang, Shujuan Hu, Wansuo Duan, Jianjun Peng, and Meiyi Hou. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2024,129, e2024JC021633[PDF]
FuXi‐En4DVar: An Assimilation System Based on Machine Learning Weather Forecasting Model Ensuring Physical Constraints. Yonghui Li, Wei Han, Hao Li, Wansuo Duan, Lei Chen, Xiaohui Zhong, Jincheng Wang, Yongzhu Liu and Xiuyu Sun. Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, 51, e2024GL111136.[PDF]
Ensemble forecasting of Indian Ocean Dipole events generated by conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation method. Rong Feng, Wansuo Duan, Lei Hu, and Ting Liu. International Journal of Climatology, 2024, 44(14), 5119–5135.[PDF]
Why does there occur spring predictability barrier for eastern Pacific El Niño but summer predictability barrier for central Pacific El Niño? Can You, Meiyi Hou, and Wansuo Duan. Climate Dynamics, 2024, 62, 9769–9788[PDF]
MJO‑equatorial Rossby Wave Interferences in the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation. Yuntao Wei, Hongli Ren, Wansuo Duan and Guodong Sun. Climate Dynamics, 2024, 62, 9097–9116.[PDF]
Rapid summer Russian Arctic sea-ice loss enhances the risk of recent Eastern Siberian wildfires. Binhe Luo, Dehai Luo, Aiguo Dai, Cunde Xiao, Ian Simmonds, Edward Hanna, James Overland, Jiaqi Shi, Xiaodan Chen, Yao Yao, Wansuo Duan, Yimin Liu, Qiang Zhang, Xiyan Xu, Yina Diao, Zhina Jiang and Tingting Gong. Nature Communications, 2024, 15,5399 .[PDF]
A New Method to Calculate Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations for Ensemble Forecasting. Junjie Ma, Wansuo Duan, Zhuomin Liu, and Ye Wang, Advances in Atmopsherci Sciences, 2024, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-4069-y. [PDF]
Exploring sensitive area in the whole Pacific for two types of El Niño predictions and their implication for targeted observations. Qianqian Qi, Wansuo Duan*, Xia Liu and Hui Xu, Frontiers in Earth Science-Atmospheric Science, 2024, 12: 1429003. [PDF]
Dynamic channel selection based on vertical sensitivities for the assimilation of FY-4A geostationary interferometric infrared sounder targeted observations.. Yonghui Li, Wei Han and Wansuo Duan. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024, 150(763), 3305–3321[PDF]
Nonlinear Optimization Problems in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences. Mu Mu , Wansuo Duan and Jiafeng Wang, East-west Journal of Mathematics, Thailand, 2002, Special Volume,155-164.[PDF]
Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation: A New Approach to the Stability and Sensitivity Studies in Geophysical Fluid Dynamics. Mu, M. and W. S. Duan. 16th Australasian Fluid Mechanics Conference, 2007, Australia. [PDF]
To improve the prediction skills of typhoon intensity by identifying target observation using particle filter assimilation method. Jingjing Zhang, Wansuo Duan, Shujuan Hu, Deqian Li, Xiaohao Qin, Meiyi Hou, Boyu Chen. Atmospheric Research, 2024. 303, 107326.[PDF]
Coupled conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations and their application to ENSO ensemble forecasts. Duan Wansuo, Hu Lei, Feng Rong, SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2024, 67(3), 826-842. 耦合条件非线性最优扰动及其在ENSO集合预报研究中的应用。段晚锁、胡蕾和冯蓉。中国科学：地球科学，2024, 54(3), 845-861 。[PDF]
The Sensitive Area for Targeting Observations of Paired Mesoscale Eddies associated with Sea Surface Height Anomaly Forecasts. Jiang Lin, Duan Wansuo, Wang Hui, JGR-Ocean, 2024, 129, e2023JC020572..[PDF]
The initial errors occurring over Pacific-Atlantic Oceans and exerting large disturbing effect on ENSO predictability. Guangshan Hou, Meiyi Hou, and Wansuo Duan, Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 2024, 105, 101426 .[PDF]
Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation: Applications to Ensemble Forecasting of High-Impact Weather Systems. Duan Wansuo, Yang Lichao, Xu Zhizhen and Chen Jing. Chapter 17 in Numerical Weather Prediction: East Asian Perspectives edited by Seon Ki Park . Springer Atmospheric Sciences, 2023. [PDF]
Westward-Propagating Disturbances Shape Diverse MJO Propagation. Wei Yuntao, Ren Hongli, Duan Wansuo, Sun Guodong. Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, 50, e2023GL104778, doi: 10.1029/2023GL104778 .[PDF]
Spatiotemporal estimation of analysis errors in the operational global data assimilation system at the China Meteorological Administration using a modified SAFE method. Feng jie, Wang Jincheng, Dai Guokun, Zhou Feifan, Duan Wansuo. Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society. 2023, 149:2301–2319, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4507.[PDF]
Evaluating the joint effect of tropical and extratropical Pacific initial errors on two types of El Niño prediction using particle filter approach. Hou Meiyi, Duan Wansuo, Zhi Xiefei. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 2023, 11(7), 1292 .[PDF]
An approach to refining the ground meteorological observation stations for improving PM2.5 forecasts in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Yang Lichao, Duan Wansuo and Wang Zifa. Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, 16, 3827–3848.[PDF]
Recent advances in China on the predictability of weather and climate. Duan Wansuo, Yang Lichao, Mu Mu, Wang Bin, Shen Xueshun, Meng Zhiyong and Ding Ruiqiang. Advances in Atmospheric Science, 2023,40(8), 1521−1547[PDF]
Evaluation of the sensitivity on mesoscale eddy associated with the sea surface height anomaly forecasting in the Kuroshio Extension. Lin Jiang, Wansuo Duan, Hui Wang, Hailong Liu, Lingjiang Tao. Frontiers in Marine Science, 2023, 10:1097209. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1097209 .[PDF]
A multi-model prediction system for ENSO. Ting Liu, Yanqiu Gao,Xunshu Song, Chuan Gao, Linjiang Tao, Youmin Tang, Wansuo Duan, Ronghua Zhang, Dake Chen. Science China Earth Sciences. 2023, 66, 1231-1240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-022-1094-0；一个ENSO多模式集合预报系统介绍。刘婷，高艳秋，宋迅殊，高川，陶灵江，唐佑民，段晚锁，张荣华，陈大可。中国科学：地球科学，2023， 53(6): 1235-1245 .[PDF]
Role of the thermodynamic structure of the inner core in predicting the intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Quanjia Zhong, Xu Lu, Xuguang Wang, Ruiqiang Ding, Wansuo Duan, Zhaolu Hou. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos, 2023, 128, e2023JD038645. [PDF]
Impact of the low wavenumber structure in the initial vortex wind analyses on the prediction of the intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Quanjia Zhong, Xuguang Wang, Ruiqiang Ding, Xu Lu, Yongjie Huang, Wansuo Duan. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos, 2022, 128, e2022JD037082. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037082[PDF]
Climate Prediction and Outlook in China for the Flood Season 2022 (in Chinese). Peng Jingbei, Zheng Fei, Fan Fangxing, Chen Hong, Lang Xianmei, Zhan Yanling, Lin Zhaohui, Zhang Qingyun, Lin Renping, Li Chaofan, Ma Jiehua, Tian Baoqiang, Bao Qing, Mu Songning, Zong Haifeng, Wang Lei, Duan Wansuo, Zhou Tianjun. Climatic and Environmental Research. 2022, 27(4), 547-558. [PDF]
Impacts of initial zonal current errors on the predictions of two types of El Niño events. Tao L. J., M. Mu, L. Wang, X. H. Fang, W. S. Duan, and R. H. Zhang, JGR-Oceans, 2023, 128, e2023JC019833 .[PDF]
A New Approach to Represent Model Uncertainty in the forecasting of Tropical Cyclones: The Orthogonal Nonlinear Forcing Singular Vectors. Zhang Yichi, Duan Wansuo, Stéphane Vannitsem and Zhang Han. Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society , 2023, 149:2206–2232 , https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4502.[PDF]
Using the orthogonal conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations approach to address the uncertainties of tropical cyclone track forecasts generated by the WRF model. Zhang Han, Duan Wansuo and Zhang Yichi. Weather and Forecasting, 2023 , 38, 1907–1933, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0175.1 .[PDF]
Seasonally Alternate Roles of the North Pacific Oscillation and the South Pacific Oscillation in Tropical Pacific Zonal Wind and ENSO.Zhong W. X., W.J. Cai, A. Sullivan,W.S. Duan, S. Yang. Journal of Climate, 2023. 40, 791–803. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0461.1.[PDF]

Questions, comments, suggestions? E-Mail me, please!
duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn