段晚锁
中国科学院大气物理研究所LASG
电话：010-82995302
传真：010-82995172
Email:duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn
中国科学院大气物理研究所LASG
电话：010-82995302
传真：010-82995172
Email:duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn
论文列表
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998
- Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation: Applications to Ensemble Forecasting of High-Impact Weather Systems. Duan Wansuo, Yang Lichao, Xu Zhizhen and Chen Jing. Chapter 17 in Numerical Weather Prediction: East Asian Perspectives edited by Seon Ki Park. Springer Atmospheric Sciences, 2023. [PDF]
- Westward-Propagating Disturbances Shape Diverse MJO Propagation. Wei Yuntao, Ren Hongli, Duan Wansuo, Sun Guodong. Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, 50, e2023GL104778, doi: 10.1029/2023GL104778.[PDF]
- Spatiotemporal estimation of analysis errors in the operational global data assimilation system at the China Meteorological Administration using a modified SAFE method. Feng jie, Wang Jincheng, Dai Guokun, Zhou Feifan, Duan Wansuo. Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society, 2023, 149: 2301–2319, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4507.[PDF]
- Evaluating the joint effect of tropical and extratropical Pacific initial errors on two types of El Niño prediction using particle filter approach. Hou Meiyi, Duan Wansuo, Zhi Xiefei. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 2023, 11(7), 1292.[PDF]
- An approach to refining the ground meteorological observation stations for improving PM2.5 forecasts in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Yang Lichao, Duan Wansuo and Wang Zifa. Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, 16, 3827–3848.[PDF]
- Recent advances in China on the predictability of weather and climate. Duan Wansuo, Yang Lichao, Mu Mu, Wang Bin, Shen Xueshun, Meng Zhiyong and Ding Ruiqiang. Advances in Atmospheric Science, 2023, 40(8), 1521−1547.[PDF]
- Evaluation of the sensitivity on mesoscale eddy associated with the sea surface height anomaly forecasting in the Kuroshio Extension. Lin Jiang, Wansuo Duan, Hui Wang, Hailong Liu, Lingjiang Tao. Frontiers in Marine Science, 2023, 10:1097209. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1097209.[PDF]
- A multi-model prediction system for ENSO. Ting Liu, Yanqiu Gao,Xunshu Song, Chuan Gao, Linjiang Tao, Youmin Tang, Wansuo Duan, Ronghua Zhang, Dake Chen. Science China Earth Sciences. 2023, 66, 1231-1240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-022-1094-0；一个ENSO多模式集合预报系统介绍。刘婷，高艳秋，宋迅殊，高川，陶灵江，唐佑民，段晚锁，张荣华，陈大可。中国科学：地球科学，2023， 53(6): 1235-1245.[PDF]
- Role of the thermodynamic structure of the inner core in predicting the intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Quanjia Zhong, Xu Lu, Xuguang Wang, Ruiqiang Ding, Wansuo Duan, Zhaolu Hou. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 2023, 128, e2023JD038645. [PDF]
- Impacts of initial zonal current errors on the predictions of two types of El Niño events. Tao L. J., M. Mu, L. Wang, X. H. Fang, W. S. Duan, and R. H. Zhang. JGR-Oceans, 2023, 128, e2023JC019833.[PDF]
- A New Approach to Represent Model Uncertainty in the Forecasting of Tropical Cyclones: The Orthogonal Nonlinear Forcing Singular Vectors. Zhang Yichi, Duan Wansuo, Stéphane Vannitsem and Zhang Han. Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society, 2023, 149: 2206–2232, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4502.[PDF]
- Using an ensemble nonlinear forcing singular vector data assimilation approach to address the ENSO forecast uncertainties caused by the “spring predictability barrier” and El Niño diversity. Zheng Yingcong, Duan wansuo, Tao Lingjiang, Ma junjie. Climate Dynamics, 2023, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06834-3.[PDF]
- Using the orthogonal conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations approach to address the uncertainties of tropical cyclone track forecasts generated by the WRF model. Zhang Han, Duan Wansuo and Zhang Yichi. Weather and Forecasting, 2023, 38, 1907–1933, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0175.1.[PDF]
- Seasonally Alternate Roles of the North Pacific Oscillation and the South Pacific Oscillation in Tropical Pacific Zonal Wind and ENSO.Zhong W. X., W.J. Cai, A. Sullivan,W.S. Duan, S. Yang. Journal of Climate. 2023, 40, 791–803. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0461.1.[PDF]
- Evaluation and Projections of Extreme Precipitation using a Spatial Extremes Framework. Yang Lichao, Christian L. E. Franzke, Duan Wansuo, International Journal of Climatology, 2023, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8038.[PDF]