段晚锁
中国科学院大气物理研究所LASG
电话：010-82995302
传真：010-82995172
Email:duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn
中国科学院大气物理研究所LASG
电话：010-82995302
传真：010-82995172
Email:duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn
个人简介
段晚锁，中国科学院大气物理研究所，研究员（二级；中科院特聘研究员；国科大岗位教授），博士生导师，全国百篇优秀博士论文，及国家杰出青年科学基金获得者。兼任"SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences" , "Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics", "Advance in Atmospheric Sciences"等杂志的编委，以及国际动力气象学委员会（ICDM）、世界气候研究计划（WCRP）中国委员会、国际气象和大气科学协会（IAMAS）中国委员会委员等。目前的研究方向为：海气相互作用动力学，高影响天气气候事件可预报性动力学、目标观测、资料同化和集合预报等。
学术论文
- Evaluating the joint effect of tropical and extratropical Pacific initial errors on two types of El Niño prediction using particle filter approach. Hou Meiyi, Duan Wansuo, Zhi Xiefei. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 2023, submitted.[PDF]
- An approach to refining the ground meteorological observation stations for improving PM2.5 forecasts in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Yang Lichao, Duan Wansuo and Wang Zifa. Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, in reviewing.[PDF]
- Recent advances in China on the predictability studies of weather and climate. Duan Wansuo, Yang Lichao, Mu Mu, Wang Bin, Shen Xueshun, Meng Zhiyong and Ding Ruiqiang. Advances in Atmospheric Science, 2023, accepted.[PDF]
- Evaluation of the sensitivity on mesoscale eddy associated with the sea surface height anomaly forecasting in the Kuroshio Extension. Lin Jiang, Wansuo Duan, Hui Wang, Hailong Liu, Lingjiang Tao. Frontiers in Marine Science, 2023, 10:1097209. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1097209.[PDF]
- A multi-model prediction system for ENSO. Ting Liu, Yanqiu Gao,Xunshu Song, Chuan Gao, Linjiang Tao, Youmin Tang, Wansuo Duan, Ronghua Zhang, Dake Chen. Science China Earth Sciences. 2023, 66, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-022-1094-0.[PDF]
- Role of the thermodynamic structure of the inner core in predicting the intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Quanjia Zhong, Xu Lu, Xuguang Wang, Ruiqiang Ding, Wansuo Duan, Zhaolu Hou. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 2023, in revision. [PDF]
- Impact of the low wavenumber structure in the initial vortex wind analyses on the prediction of the intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Quanjia Zhong, Xuguang Wang, Ruiqiang Ding, Xu Lu, Yongjie Huang, Wansuo Duan.. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 2022, 128, e2022JD037082. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037082.[PDF]
- 2022 年汛期气候趋势预测与展望。彭京备, 郑飞 范方兴, 陈红, 郎咸梅, 詹艳玲, 林朝晖, 张庆云 , 林壬萍, 李超凡, 马洁华, 田宝强, 包庆, 穆松宁, 宗海锋, 王磊, 段晚锁, 周天军。气候与环境研究，2022, 27(4), 547-558.[PDF]
- Effects of the initial uncertainties in the zonal current on the Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific El Niño predictions. Tao L. J., M. Mu, L. Wang, X. H. Fang, W. S. Duan, and R. H. Zhang. Journal of Climate, 2023, submitted.[PDF]
- Distinct effects of initial and model parametric uncertainties on El Niño predictions associated with spring predictability barrier. Tao L. J., W. S. Duan, and M. Mu. Climate Dynamics, 2023, submitted.[PDF]
- A New Approach to Represent Model Uncertainty in forecasting Tropical Cyclones: The Orthogonal Nonlinear Forcing Singular Vectors. Zhang Yichi, Duan Wansuo, Stéphane Vannitsem and Zhang Han. Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society, 2023, accepted.[PDF]
- Using an ensemble nonlinear forcing singular vector data assimilation approach to address the challenge of ENSO forecasts posed by "spring predictability barrier" and El Nino diversity. Zheng Yingcong, Duan Wansuo, Tao Lingjiang and Ma Junjie. Cliamte Dynamics. 2023, accepted.[PDF]
- Using the approach of orthogonal conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations to address the ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone track through the WRF. Zhang Han, Duan Wansuo and Zhang Yichi. Weather and Forecasting, 2023, in revision.[PDF]
- Seasonally Alternate Roles of the North Pacific Oscillation and the South Pacific Oscillation in Tropical Pacific Zonal Wind and ENSO.Zhong W. X., W.J. Cai, A. Sullivan,W.S. Duan, S. Yang. Journal of Climate. 2023, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0461.1, in press..[PDF]
- Evaluation and Projections of Extreme Precipitation using a Spatial Extremes Framework. Yang Lichao, Christian L. E. Franzke, Duan Wansuo, International Journal of Climatology, 2023, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8038.[PDF]
- 近海台风立体协同观测科学试验进展。赵兵科，汤杰，雷小途，张雪芬，段晚锁，李泓，高志球，钱传海，鲍旭炜，骆婧瑶，张帅，地球科学进展，2022，37(8)：771-785。[PDF]
- Toward targeted observations of the meteorological initial state for improving the PM2.5 forecast of a heavy haze event that occurred in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Yang Lichao, Duan Wansuo, Wang Zifa, and Yang Wenyi, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2022, 22, 11429–11453, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-11429-2022..[PDF]
- Effects of dropsonde data in field campaigns on forecasts of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific in 2020 and role of CNOP sensitivity. Qin Xiaohao, Duan Wansuo, Pak Wai Chan, Chen Boyu, Kang-Ning Huang, Adavances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2022, http: //doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-2136-9.[PDF]
- An ensemble forecasting method for dealing with the combined effect of the initial errors and the model errors and a potential deep learning implementation. Duan Wansuo, Ma Junjie, Stephane Vannitsem, Mon. Wea. Rev., 2022,150(11), 2959-2976. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0007.1.[PDF]
- 台风集合预报研究进展综述. 张璟，李泓，段晚锁，张峰。大气科学学报，2022, 45(5), 713-727。[PDF]
- The Deep Learning Galerkin Method for the General Stokes Equations. Li Jian, Jing Yue, Zhang Wen, and Duan Wansuo, Journal of Scientific Computing, 2022, 93, 5, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10915-022-01930-8.[PDF]
- 伴随敏感性方法、第一奇异向量方法以及条件非线性最优扰动方法在台风目标观测敏感区识别中的比较研究，周菲凡, 叶一苇, 段晚锁, 等.大气科学, 2022，46(X): 1−14.[PDF]
- Complex network analysis of fine particulate matter (PM2.5): transport and clustering, Na Ying, Duan Wansuo, Zhao Zhidan, Fan Jingfang, Earth System Dynamics. 2022. 13, 1029-1039.[PDF]
- The different relationships between ENSO spring Persistence Barrier and Predictability Barrier. Jin Yishuai, Liu Zhengyu, Duan Wansuo, Journal of Climate, 2022, 35(18), 6207-6218.[PDF]
- Toward an optimal observational array for improving two flavors of El Niño predictions in the whole Pacific. Meiyi Hou, Youmin Tang, Wansuo Duan, Zheqi Shen, Climate Dynamics, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06342-w.[PDF]
- A novel precursory signal of the Central Pacific El Niño event: Eastern Pacific cooling mode.Tao L.J., and W.S. Duan, Climate Dynamics,2022, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06229-w[PDF]
- The most sensitive initial error of sea surface height anomaly forecasts and its implication for target observations of mesoscale eddies. Jiang L., W. S. Duan, and H.L. Liu, J. Physical Oceanography. 2022. 52, 723-740[PDF]
- A new approach to data assimilation for numerical weather forecasting and climate prediction. Duan Wansuo, Feng Rong, Yang Lichao, Jiang Lin, Journal of Applied Analysis and Computation. 2022, 12(3), 1007-1021[PDF]
- 非线性最优扰动方法在热带气旋目标观测研究和外场试验中的应用。段晚锁、秦晓昊，地球科学进展，2022。37(2), 165-176[PDF]
- Model errors of an intermediate model and their effects on realistic predictions of El Niño diversity.Tao L.J., W.S. Duan, L. Jiang, International Journal of Climatology, 2022. doi: 10.1002/joc.7656[PDF]
Questions, comments, suggestions? E-Mail me, please!
duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn
duanws@lasg.iap.ac.cn